Based on official 2024 P1 registration data, here’s an in-depth look at Phase 2C competitiveness for Clementi schools:
2024 Phase 2C Balloting Results
| School | Vacancies | Applicants | Balloting | Vacancy Ratio |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nan Hua | 40 | 160 | SC<1km | 0.25 |
| Qifa | 68 | 104 | SC1-2km | 0.65 |
| Clementi | 198 | 77 | None | 2.57 |
| Pei Tong | 200 | 27 | None | 7.41 |
Key Findings
Highly Competitive Schools
- Nan Hua Primary (0.25 ratio)
- Most competitive school in Clementi
- Only 25% of SC<1km applicants secured spots
- Intense balloting for Singapore Citizens within 1km
- Qifa Primary (0.65)
- Moderate competition
- Balloting occurred for SC1-2km category
- 35% of applicants in this distance band missed out
Non-Balloting Schools
- Clementi Primary (2.57)
- Healthy vacancy buffer
- Safe choice for most applicants
- Pei Tong Primary (7.41)
- Extremely high vacancy ratio
- Virtually guaranteed admission
Strategic Insights
For Priority Groups:
- SC<1km to Nan Hua: Prepare for almost certain balloting
- SC1-2km to Qifa: Moderate chance of success
- PR or SC>2km: Clementi Primary offers best balance of quality and availability
Admission Safety:
- Highest chance: Pei Tong (7.41 ratio)
- Good alternative: Clementi Primary (2.57 ratio)
2025 Predictions
- Nan Hua will likely remain Clementi’s most competitive school
- Qifa may see increased demand from SC1-2km applicants
- Clementi and Pei Tong should remain non-balloting options
Recommendations
- For prestige seekers: Risk Nan Hua balloting if you’re SC<1km
- For balanced choice: Qifa offers good reputation with better odds
- For guaranteed spots: Clementi or Pei Tong are safest
This analysis shows while Nan Hua remains highly sought-after, Clementi offers excellent alternatives with much higher admission probabilities. Parents should weigh school reputation against actual chances of securing a spot.
Category: 2025